Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | CLT +163 FAU -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +15 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -3.3 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -2.7 (-12.3) | 128.3 (-9.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -3.2 (-11.8) | 123.3 (-4.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -3.4 (-11.6) | 129.8 (-10.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -2.8 (-12.2) | 128.3 (-9.3) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | FAU 77 – 76 CLT |
| Mar 13, 2025 | FAU 64 – 59 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAU 87 – 75 CLT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FAU 75 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | CLT 70 – 68 FAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 35-4 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 18-2 |
| Home | 11-4 | 17-0 |
| Away | 5-8 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#101) | 11.3 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#136) | 2.75 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#125) | 2.76 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#157) | 0.616 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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