Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | FDU -800 LIU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +12 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | FDU -18.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (+29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -14.2 (-2.2) | 153.8 (+36.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -13.5 (-1.5) | 155.6 (+34.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -13.5 (-1.5) | 154.1 (+35.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -13.6 (-1.6) | 154.9 (+35.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIU 74 – 60 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LIU 66 – 59 FDU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIU 74 – 55 FDU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIU 62 – 58 FDU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FDU 84 – 82 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 1-15 |
| Home | 10-5 | 2-10 |
| Away | 8-9 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#293) | -21.1 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#281) | -4.25 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#287) | -5.86 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#283) | 0.373 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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