Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +280 SDSU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | SDSU -8.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -8.1 (+3.1) | 139.9 (+15.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -6.6 (+1.6) | 138.4 (+16.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -8.5 (+3.5) | 139.8 (+15.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -8.4 (+3.4) | 139.3 (+15.7) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SDSU 72 – 63 WYO |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SDSU 74 – 57 WYO |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SDSU 72 – 69 WYO |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SDSU 63 – 61 WYO |
| Jan 24, 2024 | SDSU 81 – 65 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-8 | 15-1 |
| Away | 1-8 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 9-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 63.6 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#182) | 12.2 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#260) | 2.32 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#227) | 3.17 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#263) | 0.640 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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