Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | WYO -102 SDSU -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +17 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -3.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.8 (-18.8) | 151.3 (-20.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -2.9 (-19.9) | 147.3 (-16.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -2.0 (-19.0) | 148.3 (-17.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -2.3 (-19.3) | 149.0 (-18.0) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SDSU 72 – 63 WYO |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SDSU 72 – 69 WYO |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SDSU 63 – 61 WYO |
| Jan 24, 2024 | SDSU 81 – 65 WYO |
| Mar 5, 2023 | SDSU 67 – 50 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#63) | 9.2 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#106) | 1.90 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#109) | 2.84 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#96) | 0.585 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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