And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · January 15, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SDSU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money WYO -102 / SDSU -118
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual SDSU +17 131 Lost
Massey WYO -3.6 (-20.6)
Massey Totals 157.2 (-26.2)
Bradley-Terry 37%
Weighted B-T 22%
Efficiency Plus ML WYO -2.9 (-19.9) 147.3 (-16.3) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -2.0 (-19.0) 148.3 (-17.3) 63%
Baseline ML WYO -2.3 (-19.3) 149.0 (-18.0) 64%
Baseline Plus ML WYO -1.8 (-18.8) 151.3 (-20.3) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 SDSU 7263 WYO
Mar 2, 2025 SDSU 7269 WYO
Feb 2, 2025 SDSU 6361 WYO
Jan 24, 2024 SDSU 8165 WYO
Mar 5, 2023 SDSU 6750 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO SDSU
Overall 18-15 22-11
Conference 9-11 14-6
Home 14-4 14-2
Away 3-10 5-5
Neutral 1-1 3-4
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 76.8
Avg Pts Against 72.9 71.3
Massey 9.4 (#63) 9.2 (#66)
Bradley-Terry 0.77 (#106) 1.90 (#49)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.95 (#109) 2.84 (#45)
RPI 0.540 (#96) 0.585 (#47)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO SDSU
FG% 47.5% 46.9%
3PT% 34.6% 37.2%
REB / G 37.3 36.0
OREB / G 12.5 11.0
AST / TO 1.25 1.22
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.6% 53.2%
TOV% 17.1% 18.5%
ORB% 36.4% 32.1%
FT Rate 29.4% 26.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 18.7% 20.8%
DRB% 73.1% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 38.2% 27.3%

Game Analysis

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