That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Mountain West Conference · Viejas Arena · February 4, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SDSU -12.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money SDSU -900 / WYO +600
Model Predictions
Spread Total SDSU win
Actual SDSU +9 135 Won
Massey SDSU -8.6 (+0.4) — —
Massey Totals — 148.7 (-13.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SDSU -8.9 (+0.1) 141.8 (-6.8) 80% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SDSU -10.1 (-1.1) 142.4 (-7.4) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SDSU -9.2 (-0.2) 140.2 (-5.2) 83% ✓
Baseline ML SDSU -8.8 (+0.2) 139.7 (-4.7) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 15, 2026 SDSU 74 – 57 WYO
Mar 2, 2025 SDSU 72 – 69 WYO
Feb 2, 2025 SDSU 63 – 61 WYO
Jan 24, 2024 SDSU 81 – 65 WYO
Mar 5, 2023 SDSU 67 – 50 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SDSU WYO
Overall 22-11 18-15
Conference 14-6 9-11
Home 14-2 14-4
Away 5-5 3-10
Neutral 3-4 1-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 76.8 76.2
Avg Pts Against 71.3 72.9
Massey 11.7 (#48) 6.2 (#93)
Bradley-Terry 2.03 (#50) 0.54 (#115)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.93 (#42) 0.83 (#105)
RPI 0.596 (#37) 0.521 (#129)
Shooting & Four Factors SDSU WYO
FG% 47.2% 45.3%
3PT% 37.0% 33.0%
REB / G 35.0 36.7
OREB / G 9.8 12.0
AST / TO 1.17 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 52.3%
TOV% 18.2% 17.5%
ORB% 29.6% 35.1%
FT Rate 27.4% 29.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 21.1% 16.9%
DRB% 69.0% 73.5%
Opp FT Rate 26.9% 33.4%

Game Analysis

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