Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Mountain West Conference · Viejas Arena · March 5, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SDSU -14.5 Home covered
O/U 135.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total SDSU win
Actual SDSU +17 117 Won
Massey SDSU -15.9 (+1.1)
Massey Totals 137.8 (-20.8)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 98%
Efficiency Plus ML SDSU -12.2 (+4.8) 134.1 (-17.1) 88%
Baseline Tuned ML SDSU -13.6 (+3.4) 137.4 (-20.4) 88%
Baseline ML SDSU -14.3 (+2.7) 137.9 (-20.9) 88%
Baseline Plus ML SDSU -13.1 (+3.9) 138.3 (-21.3) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 SDSU 7263 WYO
Jan 15, 2026 SDSU 7457 WYO
Mar 2, 2025 SDSU 7269 WYO
Feb 2, 2025 SDSU 6361 WYO
Jan 24, 2024 SDSU 8165 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SDSU WYO
Overall 32-7 9-22
Conference 15-3 4-14
Home 15-1 7-8
Away 8-2 1-8
Neutral 9-4 1-6
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.5 68.1
Avg Pts Against 63.6 72.2
Massey 13.1 (#20) 0.7 (#154)
Bradley-Terry 2.53 (#14) -0.41 (#216)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.92 (#18) -0.23 (#190)
RPI 0.625 (#7) 0.482 (#211)
Shooting & Four Factors SDSU WYO
FG% 45.0% 44.2%
3PT% 35.0% 34.7%
REB / G 35.0 31.8
OREB / G 10.3 7.8
AST / TO 1.09 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 52.1%
TOV% 17.8% 18.4%
ORB% 31.3% 24.0%
FT Rate 24.8% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 53.6%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 16.7%
DRB% 74.5% 75.5%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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