Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Mountain West Conference · Viejas Arena · March 5, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SDSU -14.5 Home covered
O/U 135.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total SDSU win
Actual SDSU +17 117 Won
Massey SDSU -15.9 (+1.1) — —
Massey Totals — 137.8 (-20.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SDSU -13.1 (+3.9) 138.3 (-21.3) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SDSU -12.2 (+4.8) 134.1 (-17.1) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SDSU -13.6 (+3.4) 137.4 (-20.4) 88% ✓
Baseline ML SDSU -14.3 (+2.7) 137.9 (-20.9) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 SDSU 72 – 63 WYO
Jan 15, 2026 SDSU 74 – 57 WYO
Mar 2, 2025 SDSU 72 – 69 WYO
Feb 2, 2025 SDSU 63 – 61 WYO
Jan 24, 2024 SDSU 81 – 65 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SDSU WYO
Overall 32-7 9-22
Conference 15-3 4-14
Home 15-1 7-8
Away 8-2 1-8
Neutral 9-4 1-6
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.5 68.1
Avg Pts Against 63.6 72.2
Massey 13.1 (#20) 0.7 (#154)
Bradley-Terry 2.53 (#14) -0.41 (#216)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.92 (#18) -0.23 (#190)
RPI 0.625 (#7) 0.482 (#211)
Shooting & Four Factors SDSU WYO
FG% 45.0% 44.2%
3PT% 35.0% 34.7%
REB / G 35.0 31.8
OREB / G 10.3 7.8
AST / TO 1.09 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 52.1%
TOV% 17.8% 18.4%
ORB% 31.3% 24.0%
FT Rate 24.8% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 53.6%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 16.7%
DRB% 74.5% 75.5%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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