Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +270 SDSU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | SDSU -9.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -8.8 (+5.8) | 133.1 (+7.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -9.3 (+6.3) | 132.1 (+8.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -9.4 (+6.4) | 132.2 (+8.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -8.8 (+5.8) | 132.9 (+8.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SDSU 72 – 63 WYO |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SDSU 74 – 57 WYO |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SDSU 63 – 61 WYO |
| Jan 24, 2024 | SDSU 81 – 65 WYO |
| Mar 5, 2023 | SDSU 67 – 50 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#190) | 11.6 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#187) | 2.31 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#199) | 2.94 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#243) | 0.593 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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