Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -175 SFBK +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +12 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -5.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 112.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -1.2 (+10.8) | 122.5 (-4.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -3.3 (+8.7) | 125.6 (-7.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -1.5 (+10.5) | 123.3 (-5.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -1.8 (+10.2) | 123.5 (-5.5) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2023 | MRMK 63 – 55 SFBK |
| Feb 26, 2022 | MRMK 72 – 52 SFBK |
| Dec 30, 2021 | MRMK 74 – 64 SFBK |
| Feb 26, 2021 | MRMK 75 – 67 SFBK |
| Feb 25, 2021 | SFBK 84 – 71 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W11 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#345) | -12.5 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.85 (#352) | -2.16 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.22 (#349) | -3.06 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#335) | 0.418 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.0% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 24.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 17.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 59.5% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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