Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -138 SFBK +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -3.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -1.8 (+6.2) | 142.5 (-0.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -2.9 (+5.1) | 143.3 (-1.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -1.9 (+6.1) | 145.9 (-3.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -2.3 (+5.7) | 143.6 (-1.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2023 | MRMK 63 – 55 SFBK |
| Jan 7, 2023 | MRMK 65 – 53 SFBK |
| Feb 26, 2022 | MRMK 72 – 52 SFBK |
| Dec 30, 2021 | MRMK 74 – 64 SFBK |
| Feb 25, 2021 | SFBK 84 – 71 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 9-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#236) | -4.8 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#186) | -0.19 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#194) | -0.39 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#205) | 0.487 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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