Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 121.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -5.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.0 (+22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -2.5 (+7.5) | 128.3 (+9.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -3.2 (+6.8) | 126.7 (+11.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -3.1 (+6.9) | 126.8 (+11.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -2.7 (+7.3) | 128.3 (+9.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2023 | MRMK 63 – 55 SFBK |
| Jan 7, 2023 | MRMK 65 – 53 SFBK |
| Feb 26, 2022 | MRMK 72 – 52 SFBK |
| Feb 26, 2021 | MRMK 75 – 67 SFBK |
| Feb 25, 2021 | SFBK 84 – 71 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 3-9 |
| Away | 8-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.9 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#299) | -9.0 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#287) | -2.76 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#308) | -3.68 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#281) | 0.361 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.9% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 26.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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