Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
| Money | SFBK +125 MRMK -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +8 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -0.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -0.1 (-7.9) | 125.3 (-7.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -0.7 (-7.3) | 125.0 (-7.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -0.6 (-7.4) | 125.8 (-7.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -0.2 (-8.2) | 126.3 (-8.3) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2023 | MRMK 65 – 53 SFBK |
| Feb 26, 2022 | MRMK 72 – 52 SFBK |
| Dec 30, 2021 | MRMK 74 – 64 SFBK |
| Feb 26, 2021 | MRMK 75 – 67 SFBK |
| Feb 25, 2021 | SFBK 84 – 71 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 61.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 64.0 |
| Massey | -14.2 (#352) | -11.4 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#339) | -2.39 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#347) | -2.71 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#328) | 0.407 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 25.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 18.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 26.1% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 61.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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