Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -125 SFBK +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +13 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -5.1 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -3.9 (-16.9) | 141.8 (+13.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -3.9 (-16.9) | 143.0 (+12.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -3.7 (-16.7) | 145.6 (+9.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -4.0 (-17.0) | 142.2 (+12.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2023 | MRMK 63 – 55 SFBK |
| Jan 7, 2023 | MRMK 65 – 53 SFBK |
| Feb 26, 2022 | MRMK 72 – 52 SFBK |
| Dec 30, 2021 | MRMK 74 – 64 SFBK |
| Feb 26, 2021 | MRMK 75 – 67 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 9-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#217) | -5.7 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#167) | -0.33 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#175) | -0.58 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#184) | 0.473 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.