Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | SFBK -145 MRMK +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +20 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -2.4 (-22.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -0.6 (-20.6) | 132.7 (-8.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -1.0 (-21.0) | 131.5 (-7.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -1.0 (-21.0) | 132.6 (-8.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -1.1 (-21.1) | 133.2 (-9.2) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2023 | MRMK 63 – 55 SFBK |
| Jan 7, 2023 | MRMK 65 – 53 SFBK |
| Dec 30, 2021 | MRMK 74 – 64 SFBK |
| Feb 26, 2021 | MRMK 75 – 67 SFBK |
| Feb 25, 2021 | SFBK 84 – 71 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 3-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 58.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#309) | -8.7 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#333) | -1.54 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#334) | -2.00 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#329) | 0.452 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 28.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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