Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -1000 MONM +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +32 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -21.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -16.5 (+15.5) | 128.6 (-26.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -14.7 (+17.3) | 129.8 (-27.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -14.4 (+17.6) | 130.2 (-28.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -17.6 (+14.4) | 131.3 (-29.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MONM 65 – 57 DREX |
| Feb 13, 2026 | MONM 93 – 73 DREX |
| Jan 16, 2026 | DREX 73 – 51 MONM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DREX 71 – 61 MONM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONM 104 – 97 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-3 | 3-10 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#184) | -17.2 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#232) | -2.44 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#218) | -3.07 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#271) | 0.413 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 58.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.