Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | MONM +125 DREX -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +7 | 201 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -2.4 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+70.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -2.0 (+9.0) | 133.2 (+67.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -2.1 (+9.1) | 133.8 (+67.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -1.4 (+8.4) | 134.4 (+66.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -2.1 (+9.1) | 134.2 (+66.8) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MONM 65 – 57 DREX |
| Feb 13, 2026 | MONM 93 – 73 DREX |
| Jan 16, 2026 | DREX 73 – 51 MONM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DREX 71 – 61 MONM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | MONM 67 – 62 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-14 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#282) | -1.7 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#314) | -0.32 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#300) | -0.44 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#298) | 0.479 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.