Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | COR -150 PENN +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +19 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | COR -8.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -7.9 (+11.1) | 154.5 (+2.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -6.8 (+12.2) | 153.1 (+3.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -7.0 (+12.0) | 155.4 (+1.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -7.1 (+11.9) | 155.0 (+2.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 82 – 76 COR |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PENN 91 – 81 COR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COR 90 – 62 PENN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COR 86 – 76 PENN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COR 87 – 81 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#108) | -0.5 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#86) | -0.17 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#88) | 0.04 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#131) | 0.505 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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