Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | LR +110 SEMO -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -3.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -2.5 (-3.5) | 155.9 (-13.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -2.7 (-3.3) | 154.9 (-12.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -2.3 (-3.7) | 153.8 (-11.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -2.2 (-3.8) | 154.8 (-12.8) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SEMO 70 – 65 LR |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SEMO 70 – 65 LR |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SEMO 78 – 59 LR |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SEMO 57 – 45 LR |
| Jan 15, 2025 | LR 73 – 71 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-16 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.9 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#341) | -3.4 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#331) | -0.65 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#334) | -0.81 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.368 (#357) | 0.471 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 36.4% |
Game Analysis
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