Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LIN +160 TNST -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +3 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -1.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-30.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -0.5 (-3.5) | 147.6 (-30.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -2.2 (-5.2) | 146.5 (-29.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -1.5 (-4.5) | 145.9 (-28.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.8 (-3.8) | 147.4 (-30.4) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNST 89 – 80 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TNST 96 – 86 LIN |
| Mar 7, 2025 | TNST 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNST 84 – 76 LIN |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIN 72 – 62 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#323) | -5.8 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#307) | -1.53 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#273) | -2.05 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#315) | 0.388 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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