Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | TNST -175 LIN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +9 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | TNST -3.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -3.1 (+5.9) | 156.4 (+12.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -3.4 (+5.6) | 155.8 (+13.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -3.0 (+6.0) | 152.6 (+16.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -3.0 (+6.0) | 155.0 (+14.0) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TNST 96 – 86 LIN |
| Mar 7, 2025 | TNST 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNST 84 – 76 LIN |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIN 72 – 62 TNST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | TNST 65 – 55 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#245) | -5.4 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#205) | -0.63 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#234) | -1.14 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#135) | 0.486 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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