Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | LIN -198 TNST +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +10 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -4.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (+21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -2.2 (-12.2) | 153.0 (+29.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -2.1 (-12.1) | 152.1 (+29.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -2.5 (-12.5) | 148.8 (+33.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -2.4 (-12.4) | 150.7 (+31.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNST 89 – 80 LIN |
| Mar 7, 2025 | TNST 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNST 84 – 76 LIN |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIN 72 – 62 TNST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | TNST 65 – 55 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#224) | -4.4 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#216) | -0.18 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#222) | -0.80 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#218) | 0.500 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
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