Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | TNST -155 LIN +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +14 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | TNST -4.6 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -3.0 (+11.0) | 148.2 (-24.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -4.4 (+9.6) | 148.7 (-24.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -3.6 (+10.4) | 145.5 (-21.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -3.6 (+10.4) | 146.2 (-22.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNST 89 – 80 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TNST 96 – 86 LIN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNST 84 – 76 LIN |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIN 72 – 62 TNST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | TNST 65 – 55 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#251) | -10.0 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#272) | -1.22 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#282) | -2.20 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#234) | 0.464 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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