Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | LIN +175 TNST -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +10 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | TNST -6.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -5.7 (-4.3) | 137.4 (-17.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -6.6 (-3.4) | 137.6 (-17.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -6.2 (-3.8) | 135.5 (-15.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -5.7 (-4.3) | 136.2 (-16.2) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNST 89 – 80 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TNST 96 – 86 LIN |
| Mar 7, 2025 | TNST 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNST 84 – 76 LIN |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LIN 72 – 62 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 4-10 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#345) | -4.8 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#342) | -0.70 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#344) | -0.88 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#348) | 0.465 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.