Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | LIN -130 TNST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -4.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -2.8 (+7.2) | 147.9 (-13.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -2.2 (+7.8) | 149.2 (-15.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -2.7 (+7.3) | 145.5 (-11.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -2.8 (+7.2) | 147.2 (-13.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNST 89 – 80 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TNST 96 – 86 LIN |
| Mar 7, 2025 | TNST 69 – 55 LIN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNST 84 – 76 LIN |
| Feb 9, 2024 | TNST 65 – 55 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#321) | -9.5 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#319) | -2.47 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#335) | -2.74 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#311) | 0.353 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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