Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -600 BCU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -19.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -14.3 (-8.3) | 138.8 (+7.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -13.7 (-7.7) | 137.8 (+8.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -13.7 (-7.7) | 136.7 (+9.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -14.9 (-8.9) | 137.8 (+8.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BCU 76 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BCU 74 – 65 GRAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BCU 78 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BCU 65 – 59 GRAM |
| Mar 15, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 53 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#162) | -14.9 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#149) | -1.76 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#115) | -2.32 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#134) | 0.376 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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