Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU +300 FUR -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +14 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -2.4 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -3.0 (-11.0) | 143.7 (-17.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -2.9 (-11.1) | 138.9 (-12.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -3.0 (-11.0) | 143.8 (-17.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -2.6 (-11.4) | 144.2 (-18.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | FUR 76 – 61 ETSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | ETSU 78 – 69 FUR |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETSU 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ETSU 72 – 69 FUR |
| Jan 16, 2025 | FUR 73 – 70 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#254) | 1.8 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#330) | 0.21 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#324) | 0.07 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#333) | 0.507 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.