Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -120 ETSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -0.7 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -0.3 (-8.7) | 142.6 (+4.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -0.6 (-9.6) | 141.0 (+6.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -0.2 (-8.8) | 140.3 (+6.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -0.3 (-8.7) | 142.7 (+4.3) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | FUR 76 – 61 ETSU |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETSU 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ETSU 72 – 69 FUR |
| Jan 16, 2025 | FUR 73 – 70 ETSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | FUR 65 – 63 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#192) | 2.1 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#200) | 0.01 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#194) | -0.05 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#156) | 0.526 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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