Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -170 ETSU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -4.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -4.1 (-1.1) | 139.7 (+3.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -3.1 (-0.1) | 140.1 (+2.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -3.7 (-0.7) | 140.8 (+2.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -3.9 (-0.9) | 142.1 (+0.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | FUR 76 – 61 ETSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | ETSU 78 – 69 FUR |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETSU 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ETSU 72 – 69 FUR |
| Feb 10, 2024 | FUR 65 – 63 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#130) | 1.2 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#65) | -0.39 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#95) | -0.24 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#70) | 0.463 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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