Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU -115 FUR -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -3.6 (-18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -1.9 (-16.9) | 140.4 (-3.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -1.7 (-16.7) | 137.8 (-0.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -2.1 (-17.1) | 139.2 (-2.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -1.8 (-16.8) | 140.9 (-3.9) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | ETSU 78 – 69 FUR |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETSU 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ETSU 72 – 69 FUR |
| Jan 16, 2025 | FUR 73 – 70 ETSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | FUR 65 – 63 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#141) | -2.0 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#158) | -0.23 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#162) | -0.37 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#109) | 0.519 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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