Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | EMU -110 CMU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +6 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -1.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-34.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -0.6 (+6.6) | 147.9 (-29.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -0.3 (+6.3) | 146.2 (-28.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -1.5 (+7.5) | 147.5 (-29.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -1.6 (+7.6) | 147.3 (-29.3) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | EMU 66 – 54 CMU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | CMU 100 – 65 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EMU 84 – 73 CMU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | CMU 82 – 63 EMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CMU 65 – 62 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#325) | -3.9 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#325) | -1.44 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#323) | -1.78 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#338) | 0.418 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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