Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CMU +140 EMU -166 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +35 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -7.2 (+42.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -6.9 (+41.9) | 137.8 (+27.2) | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -5.8 (+40.8) | 136.9 (+28.1) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -6.9 (+41.9) | 136.4 (+28.6) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -7.1 (+42.1) | 135.9 (+29.1) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | EMU 66 – 54 CMU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EMU 84 – 73 CMU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | CMU 82 – 63 EMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CMU 65 – 62 EMU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | CMU 80 – 64 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-15 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#326) | -1.3 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#337) | -0.34 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#325) | -0.27 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#319) | 0.481 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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