Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | EMU -200 CMU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +16 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | EMU -7.5 (-23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -5.4 (-21.4) | 138.7 (+5.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -4.7 (-20.7) | 138.5 (+5.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -5.0 (-21.0) | 139.0 (+5.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -5.1 (-21.1) | 139.5 (+4.5) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | EMU 66 – 54 CMU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | CMU 100 – 65 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EMU 84 – 73 CMU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | CMU 82 – 63 EMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CMU 65 – 62 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#310) | -12.1 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#219) | -1.24 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#222) | -2.16 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#249) | 0.452 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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