Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | EMU -205 CMU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +12 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -6.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -3.1 (+8.9) | 144.2 (-24.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -2.9 (+9.1) | 140.3 (-20.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -2.6 (+9.4) | 142.5 (-22.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -2.4 (+9.6) | 142.9 (-22.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | CMU 100 – 65 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EMU 84 – 73 CMU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | CMU 82 – 63 EMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CMU 65 – 62 EMU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | CMU 80 – 64 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#222) | -7.2 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#255) | -1.49 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#244) | -1.63 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#285) | 0.438 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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