Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -500 EMU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -8.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -5.2 (-2.2) | 134.3 (-7.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -6.0 (-3.0) | 131.5 (-4.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -6.4 (-3.4) | 131.8 (-4.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -5.9 (-2.9) | 135.1 (-8.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | EMU 66 – 54 CMU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | CMU 100 – 65 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EMU 84 – 73 CMU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | CMU 82 – 63 EMU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | CMU 80 – 64 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#277) | -11.0 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#161) | -1.12 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#210) | -1.81 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#170) | 0.435 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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