Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | CMU -425 EMU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +19 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -10.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -6.2 (+12.8) | 141.9 (+3.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -6.3 (+12.7) | 142.6 (+2.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -5.6 (+13.4) | 142.5 (+2.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -5.4 (+13.6) | 140.5 (+4.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | EMU 66 – 54 CMU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | CMU 100 – 65 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EMU 84 – 73 CMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CMU 65 – 62 EMU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | CMU 80 – 64 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#226) | -9.9 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#250) | -0.64 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#243) | -1.31 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#183) | 0.457 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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