Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UIW +350 AMCC -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +9 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -8.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -8.4 (-0.6) | 145.1 (+5.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -9.0 (-0.0) | 145.3 (+5.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -7.4 (-1.6) | 145.2 (+5.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -8.3 (-0.7) | 146.1 (+4.9) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UIW 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | AMCC 79 – 71 UIW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 55 UIW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | AMCC 71 – 52 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#348) | 0.4 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#316) | -0.12 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#320) | -0.07 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#337) | 0.496 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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