Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -200 LSU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +13 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -5.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -2.8 (+10.2) | 139.0 (-14.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -4.7 (+8.3) | 136.2 (-11.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -2.6 (+10.4) | 140.4 (-15.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -2.9 (+10.1) | 139.3 (-14.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TA&M 94 – 91 LSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TA&M 66 – 52 LSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TA&M 68 – 57 LSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TA&M 73 – 69 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-8 |
| Away | 7-4 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#86) | 4.9 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#117) | 2.47 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#117) | 3.12 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#125) | 0.591 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 34.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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