Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -300 SPU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -13.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -9.5 (+0.5) | 131.4 (-1.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -7.9 (+2.1) | 130.4 (-0.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -9.5 (+0.5) | 135.3 (-5.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -9.8 (+0.2) | 133.7 (-3.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SIE 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SPU 70 – 65 SIE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIE 77 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SPU 75 – 53 SIE |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SPU 63 – 52 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 65.5 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#157) | -8.5 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#129) | -1.26 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#134) | -1.74 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#147) | 0.436 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 39.6% |
Game Analysis
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