Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -3300 IUIN +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +31 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -26.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+30.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -22.7 (+8.3) | 146.9 (+32.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -20.6 (+10.4) | 148.2 (+30.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -18.2 (+12.8) | 148.3 (+30.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -21.5 (+9.5) | 146.9 (+32.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | YSU 85 – 76 IUIN |
| Dec 6, 2025 | YSU 78 – 55 IUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IUIN 84 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YSU 77 – 61 IUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | YSU 78 – 50 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 4-9 |
| Away | 9-6 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#95) | -17.5 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#158) | -3.37 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#139) | -4.00 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#180) | 0.323 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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