Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -1400 DART +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -23.8 (-27.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (+30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -16.7 (-20.7) | 131.6 (+26.4) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -16.4 (-20.4) | 134.1 (+23.9) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -17.0 (-21.0) | 132.8 (+25.2) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -18.0 (-22.0) | 132.1 (+25.9) | 89% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 83 – 70 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | YALE 83 – 68 DART |
| Feb 28, 2025 | YALE 72 – 67 DART |
| Jan 20, 2025 | YALE 83 – 67 DART |
| Mar 2, 2024 | YALE 80 – 56 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 6-8 |
| Home | 10-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#35) | -8.7 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#89) | -2.13 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#84) | -2.83 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#104) | 0.396 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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