Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN +110 HARV -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -0.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -0.1 (-1.9) | 128.1 (+9.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -0.2 (-1.8) | 129.0 (+9.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -0.2 (-2.2) | 128.5 (+9.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -0.3 (-2.3) | 130.0 (+8.0) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | HARV 56 – 53 BRWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HARV 69 – 59 BRWN |
| Feb 28, 2025 | BRWN 59 – 52 HARV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | HARV 80 – 67 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 71 – 68 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#211) | 1.5 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#226) | 0.25 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#230) | -0.00 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#217) | 0.525 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 26.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 79.3% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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