Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -800 CCU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -18.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -15.6 (-0.6) | 150.4 (-3.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -12.9 (+2.1) | 152.0 (-5.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -13.8 (+1.2) | 149.4 (-2.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -14.6 (+0.4) | 149.9 (-2.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 MRSH |
| Jan 15, 2026 | CCU 85 – 83 MRSH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRSH 67 – 62 CCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MRSH 77 – 64 CCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CCU 74 – 67 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-8 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 9-5 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#62) | -5.6 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#97) | -0.12 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#90) | -0.53 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#101) | 0.505 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 12.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.