Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | PFW -300 MILW +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -8.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -6.8 (-10.8) | 144.6 (-0.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -7.2 (-11.2) | 147.3 (-3.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -6.3 (-10.3) | 144.7 (-0.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -6.6 (-10.6) | 145.2 (-1.2) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PFW 100 – 82 MILW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MILW 77 – 55 PFW |
| Feb 2, 2025 | PFW 81 – 79 MILW |
| Jan 9, 2025 | PFW 78 – 73 MILW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MILW 96 – 88 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#138) | -1.6 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#114) | 0.20 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#114) | -0.09 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#155) | 0.502 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.