Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | W&M +240 HOF -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +13 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -4.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -5.4 (-7.6) | 139.3 (-2.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -6.5 (-6.5) | 138.9 (-1.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -4.3 (-8.7) | 138.9 (-1.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -5.0 (-8.0) | 139.7 (-2.7) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | HOF 92 – 61 W&M |
| Jan 24, 2026 | W&M 89 – 82 HOF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | W&M 61 – 60 HOF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | W&M 74 – 56 HOF |
| Jan 26, 2024 | HOF 64 – 55 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 16-2 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-14 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 66.9 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#278) | 2.5 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#277) | 0.78 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#292) | 1.08 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#241) | 0.570 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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