Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -175 RAD +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -5.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -3.7 (-7.7) | 128.8 (-6.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -4.2 (-8.2) | 127.3 (-5.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -3.3 (-7.3) | 128.4 (-6.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -3.9 (-7.9) | 128.7 (-6.7) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | RAD 82 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RAD 89 – 80 GWEB |
| Feb 27, 2025 | RAD 63 – 56 GWEB |
| Jan 16, 2025 | RAD 79 – 75 GWEB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | RAD 90 – 74 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#146) | 0.2 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#224) | -1.23 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#209) | -1.41 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#251) | 0.438 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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