Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -200 RAD +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +16 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -5.4 (-21.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -4.8 (-20.8) | 143.5 (+20.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -3.9 (-19.9) | 144.5 (+19.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -4.6 (-20.6) | 146.2 (+17.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -5.0 (-21.0) | 144.7 (+19.3) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | RAD 82 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RAD 89 – 80 GWEB |
| Feb 27, 2025 | RAD 63 – 56 GWEB |
| Jan 16, 2025 | RAD 79 – 75 GWEB |
| Jan 18, 2024 | GWEB 74 – 68 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#199) | -4.0 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#185) | -0.65 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#202) | -0.74 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#138) | 0.472 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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