Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB +700 RAD -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +9 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -9.9 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -9.4 (+0.4) | 154.6 (+14.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -8.6 (-0.4) | 158.8 (+10.2) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -8.6 (-0.4) | 153.6 (+15.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -8.4 (-0.6) | 155.3 (+13.7) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | RAD 82 – 70 GWEB |
| Feb 27, 2025 | RAD 63 – 56 GWEB |
| Jan 16, 2025 | RAD 79 – 75 GWEB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | RAD 90 – 74 GWEB |
| Jan 18, 2024 | GWEB 74 – 68 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-29 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 9-7 |
| Home | 3-10 | 12-5 |
| Away | 0-16 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.7 | 80.8 |
| Massey | -20.4 (#363) | -7.0 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.88 (#360) | -1.63 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.20 (#360) | -2.17 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#327) | 0.418 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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