Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -275 GWEB +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -7.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -5.4 (-1.4) | 144.6 (+9.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -4.9 (-0.9) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -6.6 (-2.6) | 144.4 (+9.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -5.6 (-1.6) | 145.1 (+8.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | RAD 82 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RAD 89 – 80 GWEB |
| Feb 27, 2025 | RAD 63 – 56 GWEB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | RAD 90 – 74 GWEB |
| Jan 18, 2024 | GWEB 74 – 68 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-3 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#177) | -4.6 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#98) | -0.52 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#100) | -0.70 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#81) | 0.493 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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