Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -2400 GWEB +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -19.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -14.8 (-2.8) | 157.9 (-5.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -15.1 (-3.1) | 153.2 (-1.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -15.4 (-3.4) | 155.8 (-3.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -15.8 (-3.8) | 155.7 (-3.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | RAD 89 – 80 GWEB |
| Feb 27, 2025 | RAD 63 – 56 GWEB |
| Jan 16, 2025 | RAD 79 – 75 GWEB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | RAD 90 – 74 GWEB |
| Jan 18, 2024 | GWEB 74 – 68 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 4-29 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 1-15 |
| Home | 12-5 | 3-10 |
| Away | 4-8 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.8 | 86.7 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#239) | -21.2 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#261) | -3.63 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#265) | -4.83 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#274) | 0.388 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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