Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Big South Conference · Paul Porter Arena · February 27, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RAD -1.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money GWEB +105 / RAD -125
Model Predictions
Spread Total GWEB win
Actual RAD +7 119 Lost
Massey RAD -0.9 (-6.1) — —
Massey Totals — 145.9 (-26.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 39% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 33% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RAD -0.3 (-6.7) 146.5 (-27.5) 48% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RAD -0.3 (-6.7) 143.1 (-24.1) 49% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RAD -0.2 (-6.8) 145.9 (-26.9) 50% ✓
Baseline ML RAD -0.3 (-6.7) 147.4 (-28.4) 46% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 RAD 82 – 70 GWEB
Jan 15, 2026 RAD 89 – 80 GWEB
Jan 16, 2025 RAD 79 – 75 GWEB
Feb 23, 2024 RAD 90 – 74 GWEB
Jan 18, 2024 GWEB 74 – 68 RAD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GWEB RAD
Overall 11-20 20-13
Conference 5-11 9-7
Home 5-6 10-3
Away 3-13 7-9
Neutral 3-1 3-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.8 71.7
Avg Pts Against 78.1 71.0
Massey -5.5 (#255) -1.4 (#181)
Bradley-Terry -0.84 (#246) 0.19 (#158)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.05 (#248) 0.29 (#151)
RPI 0.475 (#228) 0.514 (#158)
Shooting & Four Factors GWEB RAD
FG% 47.0% 44.3%
3PT% 34.0% 36.4%
REB / G 36.4 34.7
OREB / G 11.3 11.3
AST / TO 0.75 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 51.0%
TOV% 20.8% 18.0%
ORB% 33.2% 34.2%
FT Rate 25.7% 31.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 16.7%
DRB% 69.7% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 26.7% 30.1%

Game Analysis

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