Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB +105 RAD -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +7 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -0.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -0.3 (-6.7) | 143.1 (-24.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -0.2 (-6.8) | 145.9 (-26.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -0.3 (-6.7) | 147.4 (-28.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -0.3 (-6.7) | 146.5 (-27.5) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | RAD 82 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RAD 89 – 80 GWEB |
| Jan 16, 2025 | RAD 79 – 75 GWEB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | RAD 90 – 74 GWEB |
| Jan 18, 2024 | GWEB 74 – 68 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 9-7 |
| Home | 5-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#255) | -1.4 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#246) | 0.19 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#248) | 0.29 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#228) | 0.514 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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