Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MRST +600 IONA -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +27 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -14.6 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -12.4 (-14.6) | 139.8 (+1.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -13.2 (-13.8) | 138.6 (+2.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -12.9 (-14.1) | 139.3 (+1.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -11.9 (-15.1) | 139.9 (+1.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | MRST 83 – 38 IONA |
| Feb 9, 2025 | IONA 75 – 71 MRST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MRST 70 – 65 IONA |
| Mar 3, 2024 | IONA 71 – 64 MRST |
| Nov 30, 2023 | MRST 68 – 64 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 17-3 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#313) | 10.4 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#323) | 1.27 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#332) | 1.74 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#346) | 0.590 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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